I tracked both for five years. Selling a sliver of whatever ran up and buying the laggard, once a year, quietly outperformed all my "I see a top coming" moves.
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Funny, I tried the exact opposite of this last year and it cost me. What you're describing would've saved me real frustration and a few hundred bucks. What made you go this route instead of the default everyone reaches for?
Came here to say exactly this. People skip the boring fundamentals and then wonder why nothing sticks for them.
Counterpoint, said with respect: this works great until your situation changes. It carried me for a year, then I outgrew it and had to rebuild. Any sense of when someone should move past this approach?
Adding a data point: I've run this for two years and it's held up through a job change and a move, which is the real test. The trick was making it small enough that it never felt optional. How small did you start?
Adding for anyone reading: start smaller than feels reasonable. The momentum matters way more than the size of the first step.
The simplicity is the whole reason this sticks. Every time I've over-engineered something like this I quietly abandoned it within a month. Stripping it to one clear step is underrated. Do you have a fallback for the days you just don't feel like it?